Using P/L trend to back and lay the favourite

Here's an experimental strategy based on the unique X-Feeder parameter - the P/L trend.

The idea of the plan is very simple: to bet on the favourite at Preflop, but what makes it different is that we'll be backing or laying depending on the direction in which our profits/losses are going.

Using the recently added trigger variable channel_trend we'll determine the early signs of a losing streak and change the type of our betting from back to lay and backwards. The theory behind this is that the favourite hand might lose several games in a row, then keep winning for several next games and so on.

So we'll try to determine the right moment to make advantage of that. Once we've started losing our lay bets, the channel_trend will show a negative number, so we will switch to backing in hopes that the favourite will keep winning for a while. As back bets start to lose, we will notice that from channel_trend's value and reverse to laying.

The most important thing in this strategy is to STOP once you've won a certain amount of money. Whatever your plan is, you can't keep winning endlessly. There will be a slump in your P/L which will reduce to zero (or even below zero) all your efforts. So we've added a special trigger that will stop the game as soon as you've won 15 times your initial bet size.

Right-click here to download the trigger file.

You may and are encouraged to experiment with the triggers. For example you may change the threshold at which the betting turns in the opposite direction. This value is equal to -0.25 in the example (remember that channel_trend can take values from -1.0 to 1.0).

Also, in the example the size of the back bet is 1.2 times bigger than the size of the lay bet, you may want to change that as well.

Good luck with this trigger and please let us know how you liked it. Post your opinions to our forum.

P.S.

Here's a tip: try to bet with these triggers in the morning, or rather from 00:00 to 14:00. Usually the best results can be obtained in these hours.

Gamble responsibly! Always be aware that betting is NOT risk-free. You must be 18+ years old before you try gambling, but even as an adult, withhold from spending money in an ill-judged manner. Our company does not encourage you to prefer gambling over other meaningful activities. If gambling is affecting your life or the lives of people close to you, please contact GamCare
© 2005-2023 WellDone Creative Software. All rights reserved. Terms and conditions.
BetFair® and the BetFair Logo are registered trade marks of Flutter Entertainment plc.